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TE ADP EVALUATIONS
Jared Cook
By Fantasy Mechanic
(IG @fantasy_mechanic)
Cook has a current ADP floating around 9.5 according to Fantasy Football ADP Calculator cook had 51 receptions (1 less than Titans WR AJ Brown) on 81 targets with 5 TDs in 2019. The addition of WR Emmanuel Sanders to the Saints offense, Cook will get even less attention. Opposing defenses will have to figure out how to cover Michael Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Alvin Kamara and Cook. It’s a “pick your poison” scenario. In the mid 9th round Cook is a steal. He could easily end up a top 6 TE by season’s end.
Evan Engram
By Run Out the Clock
(IG @runouttheclock_ff)
One of the most frustrating players in fantasy football, Engram has yet to stay healthy for a full season. We’ve seen the flashes of brilliance every time he’s on the field. Now healthy and ready to play in 2020, we’re riding with Engram and here’s why. His ADP now reflects his injury woes. The major fantasy sites will show an adp of the 6th round, but if your a steady mock drafter you know he often slides into the 7th & 8th rounds. Also an unusually deep TE class allows you to cover your ass and draft another fantasy relevant TE to protect yourself from an Engram injury. He’s low risk High Reward this year. Draft him.
Rob Gronkowski
By FFB Outwork
(IG @fantasy_football_outwork)
Coming into 2020, some see Rob Gronkowski being some sort of decoy or someone that will only be used sporadically in the Bucs offense. Actually, Gronk will be leaned on heavily to start the season. With the Coronavirus, some teams may not get as many reps as they would like. Since this will be Brady’s first year with the Bucs, the only previous offensive weapon he has played with is Gronkowski. The Brady/Gronk connection will be firing on all cylinders come week 1 due to the insane chemistry between the two. With that being said, the TE depth in 2020 isn’t as good as some people think. Along with QB, I also recommend wai
ting a bit on TE if you can’t grab either Kittle or Kelce early on in the 3rd round. If you have been following along with this accout, you may have noticed I was able to get Gronk in the 11th round in a mock draft. I find this insane value based on the fact that Gronk could easily finish as the TE 7-10 in 2020. As of now, Gronkowski’s ADP is not good enough for me to take a chance on him. There are much better options at the middle of the 6th round such as Jarvis Landry or Dak Prescott. The upside is there, so be on the lookout if he drops past round 8!
Eric Ebron
By Chief of Fantasy
(IG @chiefoffantasy)
Based on how the TE position is looking this year, I think this is a great year to wait on TE until the end of the draft. There is plenty of talented guys still available even in round 12 and beyond. But out of all these guys, one of my favorite is Eric Ebron. Ebron is a TD machine and is now joining the Steelers who have been looking for a quality TE for years. I think Ebron has a good chance to get double digit TDs with Big Ben at QB making him a great value in drafts at his current ADP.
WR ADP EVALUATIONS
A.J. Brown
By Fantasy Mechanic
(IG @fantasy_mechanic)
The second year phenom WR is being drafted up and down the board from the mid 3rd round to the late 4th round. In many rankings Brown is in the top 15 at WR. If taken at that mid 3rd round range I think it’s a reach on his value. Yes, I know he had a stellar rookie campaign with 52 receptions for 1,051 yards, 8 TDs and a eye popping 20.2 yards per catch average. The issue is that now opponents know the Titans game plan (run Henry and than over the top with Brown). The Titans need Corey Davis to emerge as a solid #2 WR for Brown to continue to have success. Not to mention Ryan Tannehill will have to continue to play lights out. That said I love A.J. Brown but don’t over reach for him in the 3rd rounds. A mid to late 4th as your 2nd WR is good value for the thevTitans #1 WR.
Keenan Allen
By Run Out the Clock
(IG @runouttheclock_ff)
One of the most reliable Fantasy WR’s the last few years, Allen has seen his ADP dip since the departure of longtime QB Phillip Rivers. Their last year together Allen finished as WR6 with 261.5 fantasy points. It’s important to note that Phillip Rivers was not “Prime” Rivers in 2019. Not even close actually. Allen has been consistently top 10 in Contested Catch Rates. A big reason why we think he’ll still be a high end WR2 no matter who starts at QB. He should act as security blanket for Tyrod Taylor or Rookie Justin Herbert. His current ADP is 4.08 but if you participate in mock drafts you often see him fall into the middle of the 5th round. He’s an incredible value in 2020.
Stefon Diggs
By FFB Outwork
(IG @fantasy_football_outwork)
In 2019 Stefon Diggs caught 63 passes, 1130 yards, 17.6 YPC, and 6 TD while appearing in 15 games. After the trade that sent Diggs to Buffalo, his fantasy production will most likely drop. He went from being the immediate option on a team that passes 51% of the time to a smaller role on a team that passes 54% of the time. Many think that Diggs will demand plenty of targets as the true alpha but actually both John Brown and Cole Beasley had over 100 targets in 2019. These targets won’t just switch to Diggs. There are just too many red flags and only so many yards and Touchdowns in the Josh Allen run offense. In 2020, I will gladly stay away from Steffon Diggs at his current ADP!
Jamison Crowder
By Chief of Fantasy
(IG @chiefoffantasy)
Jamison Crowder is a player that’s been sneaky good over the past few years even with bad quarterback play. He’s struggled with injuries, but last year when healthy he was one of Darnold’s favorite targets. Now with Robby Anderson gone, I think Crowder has a safe floor of at least 10 targets a game which could make him a great value for PPR. Combine that with the fact Crowder is currently going at 11.03, he’s severely undervalued at this point in the offseason.
RB ADP EVALUATION COLLABORATION
Chris Carson
By Fantasy Mechanic
(IG @fantasy_mechanic)
Carson is jumping off board around the 2.10-3.02 range depending on your site of reference. I think his current ADP is a bit high considering he is coming off a hip injury and Seattle signed Carlis Hype. Carson has a nice 2019 with over 1200 yards rushing and 7 TDS. But let’s remember he had fumble issues and averaged less than 2.5 receptions per game. Also, Rashad Penny could be back by week 6 which leads to a crowded backfield that I want no parts of. I’d rather grab names like Fournette, Gordon and even Edwards-Helaire before Chris Carson.
Leonard Fournette
By Run Out The Clock
(IG @runouttheclock_ff)
Fournette finished 2019 as RB7 off the back of a shocking 76 rec for 522 yds. Fournette was also able to stay healthy playing in 15 games in 2019, a career high. We will concede it’s going to be difficult to reproduce those reception totals. The Jags have brought in OC Jay Gruden and also brought in his favorite pass catching back Chris Thompson. This doesn’t mean Fournette will be completely left out of the passing game. He’s proven he’s a capable pass catching back. But where the pass catching numbers may fall some other numbers may rise. You can expect a positive touchdown regression in 2020 for Fournette after only posting 3 TDs in 2019. He’s being undervalued right now with an ADP sitting at 33.
David Montgomery
By FFB Outwork
(IG @fantasy_football_outwork)
After being highly overvalued in 2019, David Montgomery is looking to thrive in the underdog role for 2020. After being drafted in the early rounds of 2019, Montgomery rushed for 889 Yards and 6 TD while adding 25 Receptions, 185 yards and 1 TD through the air. These numbers look fair on paper until you dive a little further into the stats. Montgomery averaged 3.7 YPC (41st in NFL) and 2.3 YAC (54th in NFL) which are below average numbers. This is causing many fantasy football players to panic. But... due to the slightly improved offensive line, ADP, and very safe floor, David Montgomery is not someone to panic over for the 2020 season. In the 5th round, why not take a chance on someone with tons of Volume.
CLyde Edwards-Helaire
By Chief of Fantasy
(IG @chiefoffantasy)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire is one of the most hyped up rookies of recent memory, and for good reason. He’s a 1st round RB that went to the Chiefs, a team known for producing top 5 fantasy running backs. But this isn’t like most years where the Chiefs have a clear starter. They still have Damien Williams who has an established role in that offense. Right now CEH’s ADP is around pick 3.08 but I’ve seen him go a lot higher. I’m not drafting him at this pick because he’s an unestablished rookie that’s sharing carries with another talented RB. While I believe he could return on this draft pick, I think it’s a lot more likely that he won’t so that’s why I’m saying CEH is overpriced.
QB ADP EVALUATION COLLABORATION
Carson Wentz
By Fantasy Mechanic
(IG @fantasy_mechanic)
Wentz’s current ADP according to Fantasy Pros is #90 (9.01 in 10T and 7.05 in 12T). In 16 games in 2019 (yes Mr. Injury Prone played all 16 games)Wentz threw for 4,039 yards, 27 TDS and 7 INTs with significant injuries to his WR corps (Alshon, DeSean & Nelson) all season. Eagles snagged a few new WRs (Reagor & Goodwin) for 2020. Wentz has a chance to break the top 5 at seasons end. So, drafting him as the 8th or 9th overall QB seems like a great bargain.
Josh Allen
By Run Out The Clock
(IG @runouttheclock_ff)
The dual threat QB is king in fantasy football. When the pass game just isn’t working, 80 yards rushing and a TD from your QB can absolutely salvage your week. Josh Allen has been one of the best QB’s in this exact scenario. In his first 2 seasons Allen has rushed for 1,141 yds & 17 TD’s. While he’s not an elite passer he did make a leap last year going from 10 TD’s 12 int to 20 TD’s 9int. His completion percentage, passing yards and average yards per attempt all went up. He also gained a big weapon in Stefon Diggs to pair with deep threat John Brown. There’s nothing stopping Josh Allen from taking yet another leap in 2020. Allen is undervalued currently with a 6th round ADP (72)
Dak Prescott
By FFB Outwork
(IG @fantasy_football_outwork)
When it comes to Dak Prescott, many different things are said. When it comes to fantasy football, Dak Prescott is one of the best QB in the league. In my eyes, Dak Prescott has everything it takes to even be the overall QB 1 in 2020 just based of upside and his ELITE floor. To start, Dak has never missed a game in his career. Along with durability, he may have the best WR trio in the league. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb give Dak elite weapons that give him the perfect mix of floor and upside (Note that Prescott finished QB 2 in 2019 without Lamb). Although it doesn’t mean much for fantasy, Dak has the 4th best odds to win NFL MVP which shows that others are taking notice of the season Dak is getting ready to have. Along with this, he also faces the 6th easiest SOS in 2020 which definitely ensures the upside. Even though I HIGHLY recommend waiting on a QB in 2020, Dak could be a value depending on how your draft goes. He is currently going as the QB 5 in drafts and possibly slipping to the 6th round where I may take a chance on him! Good Value
Patrick Mahomes
By Chief of Fantasy
(IG @chiefoffantasy)
Patrick Mahomes is clearly the best quarterback in the NFL, and this is reflected in his consensus #1 rank for fantasy next season. But right now he’s going at the 2.08 spot which is way to early to take any QB no matter how skilled he is. You’re better off taking a RB in the second round and punting QB till the end of your draft. For that reason, I’d say Patrick Mahomes is overpriced at his current ADP.
F. U. E. L ROSTER
